杏吧原创

Global warming not to blame for 2011 droughts

Droughts may be occurring from China to Texas, but climate change models suggest global warming is not responsible
Gasping for rain
Gasping for rain
(Image: Oli Scarff/Getty Images)

ADD one more to the list: after the driest spring in more than 20 years, parts of eastern England are officially in a state of drought, . This comes hard on the heels of some of the worst droughts on record across the globe, from to .

While , there鈥檚 no evidence that it is to blame. Though climate change models predict extended droughts and periods of intense rainfall for the end of the 21st century, they don鈥檛 explain the current droughts, says at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. 鈥淎 lot of these extreme conditions are natural variations of the climate. Extremes happen, heat waves happen, heavy rains happen,鈥 he says.

Drought across the southern US 鈥 and heavy rains across the north of the country 鈥 are a result of La Ni帽a, says Michael Hayes, director of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. An extended holding pattern in the jet stream, the same type of 鈥渂locking event鈥 that caused last summer鈥檚 heat wave in Russia, is responsible for this year鈥檚 European droughts, says Michael Blackburn of the University of Reading, UK.

As for the apparent convergence of droughts worldwide, Mark Saunders of University College London says current conditions aren鈥檛 that unusual. News media may simply be more tuned in to reporting extreme weather events.

Topics: Climate change / Environment / weather