杏吧原创

The solid inner core of our planet may be slowing its rotation and getting ready to switch spin directions relative to the rest of the planet. This seems to be part of a cycle lasting about 60 years in which the core periodically speeds up and slows back down again.

Beneath Earth鈥檚 mantle is a churning layer of molten iron and nickel, with a dense inner core of iron kept solid by the intense pressure at the centre of the planet. The movement of the inner core relative to the mantle and surface has been under debate for decades, and measurements of earthquakes are now helping researchers to understand it better.

and at Peking University in China and their colleagues analysed the seismic waves from near-identical earthquakes that passed through the planet鈥檚 core over the last 60 years or so. If Earth鈥檚 solid core were perfectly spherical and had the same structure all the way through, we would expect each set of waves to look exactly the same regardless of when they passed through. It isn鈥檛, though, so we can use the differences between the waves to measure the changes deep below the ground.

The researchers found that before about 2009, the planet鈥檚 core seemed to be rotating slightly faster than the mantle and the surface 鈥� meaning that if you could stand on the surface and look down to the core, you would see it slowly spinning forward. But around 2009, this rotation began to slow down. If you could look down to the core now, their measurements indicate you wouldn鈥檛 see it spinning at all because it is rotating at approximately the same rate as the surface.

鈥淭hat means it鈥檚 not a steady rotation as was originally reported some 20 years ago, but it鈥檚 actually more complicated,鈥� says at the University of California, Berkeley. According to Yang and Song鈥檚 measurements, the last turning point in the inner core鈥檚 rotation was in the early 1970s, so the spin rate appears to be oscillating regularly.

鈥淲e have several different ideas about how the inner core is moving, and this idea of steady motion followed by slowing down at the beginning and end of about 50 years is probably the leading idea, but it doesn鈥檛 explain everything,鈥� says at the University of Southern California. Notably, it does not account for the period from 2001 to 2003 in which the rate of change of the core鈥檚 spin seemed to be much higher than we have seen at other times, he says. 鈥淏ut my guess is something else is happening as well, so it鈥檚 really not that bad a flaw if all the data isn鈥檛 explained by one model.鈥�

The oscillation is most likely caused by interactions between the solid mantle and the inner core. Because neither is perfectly spherical, the gravity of lumps and bumps in each pulls on the other. That could change the rotation rates of both 鈥� although the mantle is much heavier than the inner core, so the effect on the outer layers of the planet would be much less noticeable.

That bears out with measurements of minuscule changes in the length of the day on Earth鈥檚 surface, which fluctuates slightly. Changes in rotation of the inner core are also expected to affect the planet鈥檚 magnetic field, but only on a relatively small scale.

鈥淧eople get alarmed about the idea of an impending reversal of Earth鈥檚 magnetic field, and it鈥檚 not that kind of thing, it would be a small effect,鈥� says Buffett. 鈥淭he flows in the core will alter the magnetic fields a little bit, and change the length of the day by maybe a tenth of a millisecond a year.鈥�

But we can鈥檛 be sure yet exactly what is going on at the centre of Earth, largely because measuring these very small changes in seismic waves, magnetic fields and the day鈥檚 length is so difficult.

鈥淚 wish I could say that it鈥檚 the final word, but I think we still have some work to do to converge onto a final explanation,鈥� says Vidale. 鈥淲e have trouble doing simulations of these waves because they have such high frequency all across the planet, and some of the measurements are pretty uncertain and contradictory.鈥� More observations over the coming decades will help researchers sort it out.